Saturday, May 23, 2015

Week 1, the Draft: Limo 5 Prospect Reports....Plus Nick

Because I aim to be nothing but helpful (it's true. Everywhere I go, people follow me and say. "See that girl? Boy is she helpful!"....at least that's what I've always assumed the word "mean" means), I'm going to start this round of the league by handicapping the prospects for this weekend's draft using a complicated statistic that I've developed based equally on my mathematical acumen (I test at roughly a 7th grade level) and my pension for complete BS.

Below, I give you the Staying Power (SP) rating for each of the men based on their performance in episode 1. I'll confess to actually watching the bios ABC helpfully posted on the website just because the first episode gave us so little to go on. I will also confess being ashamed about watching the bios - extra content is where I try to draw the line! For more detail on the hours of careful thought (read: metro ride) that went into Staying Power (SP = a*P(E+B) - L, see my earlier post.

Tony - SP: 45

Attraction (a): 5
So...I gotta say. I don't get Tony. It's not that I don't get who he's claiming to be. I've known plenty of guys who are aggressively into yoga and meditation and spiritual connections that can only be sustained through the laying of hands. But none of those guys want to be on reality TV. I get that we're supposed to find Tony amusing with his over-the-top devotion to "touch" and letting the rose boxes speak to him. But I'm just not a fan of giving hypocrisy a megaphone, of letting someone be a mouthpiece for values he doesn't truly espouse himself. I'd much rather give him another black eye. But he's cute, and Kaitlyn probably didn't spend too much time talking to him, so...hockey hair for the win!

Featured Scene Percentage (P): 1
And I'm guessing his departure will be accompanied by no small degree of existential angst.

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 8
So...this was actually hilarious. It's one thing to give each girl a variation on the same riff, but to tell them the exact same thing really shows off his arrogance, his self-centeredness, and his misappropriation of a completely valid worldview. This was my favorite moment of the night for Britt...though she did, disappointingly find time to validate him later.

Background (B): 2
Perhaps the worst part of Tony is that I'm pretty sure he's a physical therapist. Which is a real job! That helps people! Invalidating yourself by claiming to be a healer is, in no way, necessary to doing the work that you do.

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 5
Black eye had to come from somewhere...

Shawn E. - SP: 0

Attraction (a): 0
There's a lot to say about Shawn E., and we'll certainly get into it, but...it was pretty apparent he wasn't going to be sticking around for long when Kaitlyn noted that she loved that "someone" showed up in a car pool. 

Featured Scene Percentage (P): 0

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 10
In fairness, this obviously wasn't entirely his fault. Ryan M.'s heckling was uncalled for and pretty hard to deal with with any grace, but if even we removed Ryan and/or somehow removed alcohol from the scenario (which you have to think might have some unintended consequences...like all the other men going home too), Shawn E. somehow took the totally reasonable concept of a car pool (if by reasonable you mean, relatively staid considering some other guy drove up in cupcake) and made it...kind of uncomfortable. Clearly at least some level of thought had to go into the procurement of this vehicle. It to be communicated to the producers and minimally, I imagine some light googling was involved. So why, in all that planning, did it never occur to Shawn E. that while a suit would be funny while in the car, upon disembarking, there would be...some clinging. And how is it possible that "I was afraid some of the other guys might pee in our hot tub" was what he chose as a winning
"Some guy chirping at him" was not the only angle of
this entrance that Shawn E. failed to think through...
first line?


Background (B): 10
I have to admit, when I first saw that Shawn E. referred to himself as an "amateur sex coach" in the bios, I had a lot of feelings. One of the feelings was excessively creeped out, imagining that this was a line that this was a service he offered up to innocent bar-going girls. But one was mildly amused that he had at least come up with a creative stand-in for "unemployed" and one was curious to see if he would offer any pointers to the other guys or Chris Harrison. But once I actually saw Shawn's discussion with Britt, all those feelings were immediately replaced by a single emotion. And I felt very, very sad. Because not only is "amateur sex coach" not a real job, but its not even a skill he seems to be putting to any kind of personal use. Shawn E. has chosen to introduce himself to America by just telling us all he watches lots and lots of porn.

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 0
Which is hard to believe with all of his promises of bowel safety...

Chris - SP: 360

Attraction (a): 9
I gotta say, first impression-wise, I was not expecting Kaitlyn to be that into Chris, but then they both went all moony and smiley over each other, and the attraction number climbed. I would not have put money on Chris being the first guy to go in for a smooch, but I guess he does specialize in oral exams...(and yes, I am sorry about the terrible dentist joke, but...if he gets to make multiple cupcake jokes than it only seems fair!)
This is clearly the universally-
recognized and accessible cupcake.

Featured Scene Percentage (P): 4

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 8
If you must adorn your entrance with a fancy vehicle or clever joke (and I am quite certain that nowhere in the rules is it written that you must. Many a gentleman has found that a friendly smile and a firm handshake will more than suffice), then I feel very strongly that it should be a vehicle or joke that has at a bare minimum something to do with anything relating to your life. It's not that cupcakes aren't delicious. I think we can all agree that they are. But there are many delicious things in life that don't need to be turned into a car and than conscripted into the service of making a first impression. Otherwise, we'd have way more people arriving for job interviews in hatchback Swedish fish. 

Background (B):2
And why, specifically, was it a cupcake adorned with candy corn? Where is the market for that? Were they out of cupcake cars with plain old sprinkles? Does Chris have a particular affection for Halloween?

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 0

 Joshua - SP: 128

Attraction (a): 8
Which is the correct level at which she should be attracted. Joshua is pretty adorable. 

Featured Scene Percentage (P): 2

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 0
I liked pretty much everything about Joshua, including the fact that he saved his welding-is-just-like-love metaphor for off screen. 

Background (B): 8
All that being said...is there something a little bit insulting about setting Kaitlyn up with a guy who's essentially just a welder-version of Chris. Small town, sweet, and of good values, it seems a little bit like they're offering up a consolation prize. And that doesn't necessarily seem like the best way to ensure that she's over Chris. Although maybe if they could set up - just hear me out here - some sort of a relay race perhaps with a subtle farm theme....

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 0

Ben Z. - SP: 158

Attraction (a): 4
This is, of course, a guess. There is no videographic evidence that these two actually even met.

Featured Scene Percentage (P): 4

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 0

Background (B): 10
So there's a lot that I would like to say here. For example, I would like to highlight that Ben Z. chooses to hold up his NFL tryout as proof that he has accomplished a lot. I would like to really dive into the fact that he makes no mention of actually playing on an NFL team, that he is essentially citing his indisputable failure as proof of your success. But...given that he also gave us the history of his mom dying...I really cannot.

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 2

Nick - SP: ????

Attraction (a): ???
So given the incestuous circuit of touring Bachelor drinking, one has to imagine that Kaitlyn and Nick have met before. And if the preview scenes are to be believed and she lets him stick around, there must be at least a minimal level of attraction here. But with out my time-tested and carefully calibrated measures (also know as light voyeurism), I can't possible feel comfortable making a call here. Even though, it seems like this could wind up being a thing. Again. Much to the delight of no one. 

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 10

Background (B): 10
So, I'm sad to admit that there are a number of things I remember about Nick. Like he has a lot of siblings and a surprisingly hot mom and an adorable cheeky sister who's just waiting to age into a reality career of her own. But the main thing that I remember, the main thing that everyone remembers except for seemingly Kaitlyn is how he called Andi out on having sex with him on national TV. Or she remembers and, much like most girls, chooses to judge Andi instead of taking a closer look at the gross decisions of the guy. Either way, I'm not really looking forward to his return and will probably have to do some thesaurusing of the word "angry" so that I can properly prepare myself for the necessary blogs.

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 0
It seems, instead, he's been preoccupying himself with regularly giving Chris Harrison a ring when he feels lonely at night. 

Friday, May 22, 2015

Week 1, the Draft: Limo 4 Prospect Reports

Because I aim to be nothing but helpful (it's true. Everywhere I go, people follow me and say. "See that girl? Boy is she helpful!"....at least that's what I've always assumed the word "mean" means), I'm going to start this round of the league by handicapping the prospects for this weekend's draft using a complicated statistic that I've developed based equally on my mathematical acumen (I test at roughly a 7th grade level) and my pension for complete BS.

Below, I give you the Staying Power (SP) rating for each of the men based on their performance in episode 1. I'll confess to actually watching the bios ABC helpfully posted on the website just because the first episode gave us so little to go on. I will also confess being ashamed about watching the bios - extra content is where I try to draw the line! For more detail on the hours of careful thought (read: metro ride) that went into Staying Power (SP = a*P(E+B) - L, see my earlier post.

 Justin - SP: 60

Attraction (a): 5
Or it's possible she was just distracted by all the balloons. She'd get no judgment from me!

Featured Scene Percentage (P): 4
Are these fun balloons distracting you from how little I had to
say about Justin???
Though I suspect it will be in a largely non-speaking role. No Screen Actors' Guild membership necessary for Justin!

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 3
We got only a moment of exposure to his helium-filled antics, and I would guess what actually happened was much worse than what we got to see, so the post-production crew is to thank for the low marks here. perhaps I'll look into sending them balloons - they did such a good job with a suspenseful preview package too!

Background (B): 0

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 2

Tanner - SP: 65

Attraction (a): 5
In Tanner's case, this is, at best, a proxy measure of attractiveness. Much as you can get a bead on motivation by looking at college application completion or can evaluate general happiness by looking at the size of the Canadian geese population in the area (a strong inverse correlation, that), we can only gauge Kaitlyn's attraction to Tanner by her feelings for Tanner lookalikes J.J., Ben H., and Chris.

Featured Scene Percentage (P): 7
Again, maybe. Not that Vegas is using me for odds-making or anything, but obviously, I can't be trusted!

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 2
Though clearly the number would have been a lot higher had the Bachelorette been Britt. The fact that she, in no way, appreciated his gift that was a little bit mean and that poked a little fun sums up exactly why I wasn't too keen on her being the Bachelorette. Seriousness isn't the same as sincerity just as overcoming a personal tragedy doesn't automatically make someone ready for a wife. with the almost unbearable levels of earnestness that modulate this show, I'm not entirely sure I'd survive a Bachelorette is is all right reasons all the time too.

Background (B):0

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 5
Even though I liked it, the Kleenex maneuver was a total manipulative, petty girl move. On the other hand, he could just have sisters.

Shawn B. - SP: 398

Attraction (a): 10
Whether she's driven by her butterflies, their mutual love at first sight, or just the fact that she's watched The Notebook 100 times while salivating along in her room, Kaitlyn is sweating Shawn B. And I feel like the new format really worked to make sure we were all sweating Shawn B. too. He was a perfect gentleman to Britt and yet he immediately made his intentions so clear that you almost couldn't help rooting for him to get his girl, as if that wasn't the very antithesis of the show. I feel like it's just going to make it that much harder when the first impression rose inevitably sends him home. Or when he dies of cancer in his long lost lover's arms (or whatever sick trip Nicholas Sparks has cooked up for him next....I have to admit, I have somehow missed quite a few of those books and movies).
Image result for Ryan Gosling the Notebook
I could be wrong, but I assume what Shawn B. is
saying here is "Megan has a very limited
understanding of what happens in this movie..."

Featured Scene Percentage (P): 10
The only question remaining is whether it will be a slow descent into dislikable douchebaggery or a trimphant rise to Bachelor glory. 

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 4
It's not that it's necessarily so embarrassing that he was thinking about a hug from Britt. I, myself, have devoted some thought to her hugs. For example, are they kind of smelly? Is it just the duration that makes them special or is she getting creative with her arms? If Britt could choose to sponsor a child with hugs or money, would she choose hugs? And would the sponsor child take advantage of her proximity to punch her in the face? There are many important questions to be pondered. I just needed a bit more specific from Shawn.

Background (B): 0
Oh my god, you guys. How can we be feeling so much for Shawn already when we know virtually nothing about the guy?!?!?!

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 2

David - SP: 0

Attraction (a): 0
Well, we've come to the point in the blogging where I've recorded so little that I'm faced with no toher option but to just completely make something up. As we all know, Kaitlyn wasn't attracted enoguh to David to let him hang around, but we don't know why...

Featured Scene Percentage (P): 0
....

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 10
...You see, what we didn't see in the footage that aired was that when David got out of the limo, he actually made a beeline for Britt. He beheld her in all her ethereal resplendence and whispered "I've always had a fetish for mid-to-late eighties names." Not a deal breaker, Kaitlyn thought to herself. After all, Kaitlyn was once a chart topper in its own rights. But that was before David came to find her inside.
Image result for 80's year book photo
I think we all know which Tiffani
this is...girl puts the unh in scrunchie

Background (B): 10
"What I should have said," David explained, "Was that I've always had a fetish for girls with mid-to-late eighties names who have the potential to dot the i's in their names with little hearts." Kaitlyn looked confused so he continued on. "It goes way back to Valentine's Day in third grade where there were two Tiffany's in my class. Tiffany with a "y" and Tiffani with an "i". And Tiffani with an i was know for - " But Kaitlyn stopped him right there. She was noticing a pattern. And she had no time for guys who couldn't spell.

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 10
But that, dear friends, is a story for another day.

Corey - SP: 40

Attraction (a): 7
On a scale of a polite tee hee to a full-on cackling guffaw, repeating Kaitlyn's joke rates considerably lower than coming up with your own dirty pun. So it speaks volumes about Corey's dimples that he elicited a legitimate laugh.

Featured Scene Percentage (P): 1
Corey's night 1 strategizing is practically screaming for some tattling from a  bight 2 generic desperate for a rose.

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 4

Background (B): 2
Corey went to weird and unnecessary lengths to make sure we knew one thing about his background (unless we've got a Castaway scenario going on here, and Corey needed the volleyball to cyue him on his hijacked line), but all I have to say is...do we really live in a world where "competitive volleyball playing" is considered a more impressive occupation than farming?

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 2
Which is several points lower that it would be if he was an Olympic volleyball player. Even the volleyball plyaers have a piece of tail squirreled away in the Olympic village.

Week 1, The Draft: Limo 3 Prospect Reports

Because I aim to be nothing but helpful (it's true. Everywhere I go, people follow me and say. "See that girl? Boy is she helpful!"....at least that's what I've always assumed the word "mean" means), I'm going to start this round of the league by handicapping the prospects for this weekend's draft using a complicated statistic that I've developed based equally on my mathematical acumen (I test at roughly a 7th grade level) and my pension for complete BS.

Below, I give you the Staying Power (SP) rating for each of the men based on their performance in episode 1. I'll confess to actually watching the bios ABC helpfully posted on the website just because the first episode gave us so little to go on. I will also confess being ashamed about watching the bios - extra content is where I try to draw the line! For more detail on the hours of careful thought (read: metro ride) that went into Staying Power (SP = a*P(E+B) - L, see my earlier post.

Ryan M. - SP: 0

Attraction (a): 0
May every women you ever meet be blessed with this
lingering mental image...
I can tell because Kaitlyn did not, even on single time, turn to Ryan and say "Why am I not raping your right now?" She somehow also managed to avoid mentioning that she was "horned up."

Featured Scene Percentage (P): 0

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 2
And it was really the only non-embarrassing part of his day. From his groping of Kaitlyn to his falling out of the swimming pool, Ryan got drunk enough to take on all the greats: Jordan and her graceful wall-twerking; Victoria anmd her sobbing in a bathroom stall; even Ed and his...daily life decisions couldn't hold a candle to Ryan M. I think (and here are words I never thought I'd say), that he might have even been too drunk for Bachelor in Paradise. And that, my friends, is saying something. Because Chris Harrison typically isn't the tupe of guy to take someone out on a reality TV show and never call him again.

Background (B): 0
But in fairness, Ryan probably doesn't remember that much about it anyway.

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 5
Ditto

Brad - SP: 0

Attraction (a): 0
Usually there are a few guys who go home on night one who seem to be attractive and relatively normal. Guys who are clearly better choices than the boorish producer plants or dark-haired doppelgangers who won't be allowed to talk before making their hasty exists on night three, long before they get the chance to get a stamp in their passport. But give that the choice inevitably seems to be between Column A and....a column that looks, sounds, and acts nearly identical to Column A (both Ionic, both capable of supporting buildings), part of me will always wonder, did Bradley just say something really offensive that didn't get captured on film?

Featured Scene Percentage (P): 0

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 5
...Or maybe it was that stupid tennis pun. Kaitlyn likes her puns like she likes her Harrys...dirty. (Full disclosure: Kaitlyn and I have never actually had an in-depth conversation about her preference in Harrys. I'm taking some liberties here). 

Background (B): 0

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 5
Maybe what he whispered off camera was "I met this girl at the hotel last night, and, I know it's a long shot - she lives in L.A. and I live in Poughkeepsie, but..." I feel certain that Kaitlyn would understand.

Daniel - SP: 12
Why, yes. This entire post is just an
excuse to use this picture. 

Attraction (a): 3
Daniel got through on dance moves alone, and while there are stupider reasons to make a night one pick, I don't expect to see Daniel hang around for too long - unless he busts out the 90s moves with quickness.

Featured Scene Percentage (P): 2
Not enough time spent practicing M.C. Hammer's patented "typewriter," I suspect.

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 2
His uncertainty on which girl to dance up on was later highlighted by him stressing that there was "no wrong choice" in the vote. There was a wrong choice...and it was not bringing along a mini boombox.

Background (B): 0

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 0

Josh - SP: 0

Attraction (a): 0
Did anyone else gain a little bit of respect for Kaitlyn when she said that Josh was all Britt's? Not that I think that most women are just dying for a handsome boyfriend-cum-stripper to come and sweep them off their feet...Or that I really want to judge Josh for being a stripper per se (okay, I totally do. But I'm also judging a random metro passenger for incorrectly completing the Express sudoku right now, so I think it's safe to say that my judgmental nature is more of a me problem than it is about Josh). My problem is, he just took such obvious pride in it - sort of like the pride someone might take in, say, finishing law school - that is just made it sort of hard to take him seriously. It's not that stripping is necessarily a shameful and dirty profession, but it does seem like, when you know it's not your permanent gig (and when you mostly only have to do it for women rather than pervy old men), it's much easier to ignore the aspects of it that are inarguably demeaning.
 
Featured Scene Percentage (P): 0
And he should thank her for it. Was his master plan really to study for the bar while trapped in a house with 18 drunken men?

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 10
I know the "In the Moments" are filmed later, but...could Kaitlyn really tell Josh was a stripper just from the way he moved his hips? Because if that's a thing, then...I'm pretty sure I owe a number of gentlemen some singles...

Background (B): 5 
Though the real letdown here is that he failed to share his stripper name. There are so many options to choose from: Al Imony...Juris Dicktion...Amicus Curious...really the hard part for Josh must be putting the kibosh on this excellent distraction so he can focus on, you know, studying the law... 

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 5


Joe - SP: 245

Attraction (a): 7
Joe was really set up to look amazing among the dregs of Limo 3, and it seemed like Kaitlyn dug it, at least a bit. Or, as an equally plausible alternative, she was experiencing some temporary blindness from the moonshine he shared and decided she'd better at least fake giving him the benefit of the doubt. 

Featured Scene Percentage (P): 7
He also gets my nod for the guy most likely to fall too hard too fast. (Not to be confused with the guy who goes too far too fast. Kentucky is known, above all, for its gentlemen! Well, and its Bourbon. Its Bourbon and its gentlemen. And its Derby...at which you can find innumerable Bourbon-drinking gentlemen!)

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 0

Background (B): 5
I won't say anything more about it. I'm sure I've already impressed you enough with my extensive knowledge of Kentucky!

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 0