Saturday, May 24, 2014

Week 1, The Draft: Prospect Report, Limo 4

Because I aim to be nothing but helpful (it's true. Everywhere I go, people follow me and say. "See that girl? Boy is she helpful!"....at least that's what I've always assumed the word "mean" means), I'm going to start this round of the league by handicapping the prospects for this weekend's draft using a complicated statistic that I've developed based equally on my mathematical acumen (I test at roughly a 7th grade level) and my pension for complete BS.

Below, I give you the Staying Power (SP) rating for each of the men based on their performance in episode 1. I'll confess to actually watching the bios ABC helpfully posted on the website just because the first episode gave us so little to go on. I will also confess being ashamed about watching the bios - extra content is where I try to draw the line! For more detail on the hours of careful thought (read: metro ride) that went into Staying Power (SP = a*P(E+B) - L, see my earlier post.

Craig - SP: 16
Attraction (a): 1
There is a fun-loving guy on each season of The Bachelorette who is kept around as as equal parts non-threatening and unattractive friend. That guy is always named Craig.

Featured Scene Percentage (P): 1

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 5
Awkward, no. Ill-advised, yes. 

Background (B): 3
Craig's background video basically played out like halfway through he realized his boss was in the room. Craig on being an accountant, "I'm definitely adding up numbers, but in my head I'm thinking about fun things...When 4:35 rolls around, I'm definitely not thinking about getting our of there. I'm, like, primed to work more." The combination of this magic and the fact that Bachelorette filming coincided perfectly with tax seasons, leads me to believe Craig might not currently have a job.

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 0


Ron - SP: 2

Attraction (a): 1

Featured Scene Percentage (P): 1

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 0

Background (B): 1
Ron is from Israel and Barbados and was more excited about a prospect of getting a drink than hanging out longer with Andi. I think that's probably enough.

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 0

looney-tunes-still-of-elmer-fudd-and-bugs-bunny-in-whats-opera-doc-658x325.jpg (658×325)
Bradley - SP: 16
Attraction (a): 4
Let's be honest. Elmer Fudd over there is really our nation's foremost affiliation with male opera singers. So much so, in fact, that when I did a google search for "three tenors" multiple pictures of the three amigos came up (Stupid, smug google. I'll tell you what I'm looking for. Not the reverse!). It's not the most accessible musical option when it's performed in Russian or Italian and when it's performed in English it's just plain bad. And while Sharleen may have laid the groundwork for opera singers everywhere to break into the pop culture universe that is The Bachelor(ette), she did so by defying or conventional collective mental image rather than embracing them. Bradley's over-coiffed hair, traditional suit, and uncanny resemblance to the very smug-faced Nathan Fillion didn't exactly break down any boundaries, and I don't see him making it too far. 

Featured Scene Percentage (P): 1

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 3
I did find it pretty endearing that Bradley ran into the scenery on his way into the house. What do we think it says about me that I find clumsiness to be the height of charm?

Background (B): 1

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 1




cheese-cats.jpg (355×238)
If cheese and cats must mix, this is how I feel it should be done.
Josh B.- SP: 0
Okay, I'm just going to dispense with all formalities right now and say, what the Hell was the deal with Josh B.? Pretty much like every other guy on this season of The Bachelorette he made a nice, completely unobjectionable entrance that remained in my brain for exactly as long as it took that commercial for cheese-flavored cat food to come on Hulu (I don't know why, you guys, but that stuff really grosses me out. I know that I don't actually have to eat it, and that cats, like all God's creatures, really are entitled to enjoy delicious cheese, but for some reason every time it comes on I have to avert my eyes and get my gag reflex under control), had a nice, completely unobjectionable face and generally lived through the evening without distinguishing himself in any sort of way that I would characterize as embarrassing.  And yet, clearly something about what happened that night didn't sit right with Josh, and he went on a ridiculous tare on his way on the door that undid all of his, fine under the radar work. What do we think could have happened? Is it possible that he had never seen an episode of this fine program and didn't understand how it worked? Was he promised some alone time with Chris Harrison? Did he have a past traumatic experience that now triggers some sort of cheers-related PTSD? All questions that we're just going to have to live with not knowing the answers to. 


Nick S. - SP: 39

Attraction (a): 4
There's been a lot of attention paid over the past couple of years to how The Bachelor franchise deals with diversity. And in the seasons since the lawsuit, a some what middling amount of attention has been paid to diversifying the cast with a smattering of minorities as well as a Latino Bachelor and now Jewish Bachelorette. However, Nick S. represents a different kind of diversity, one which, I don't believe we've ever seen before. He's the first ever balding Bachelorette contestant. He represents a far larger subgroup than Juan Pablo ever did (obviously, I mean jagholes) and seems funny, outgoing and charming. I'm glad Andi kept him around despite his less than typically luscious crop of hair, and I'm going to be rooting for him to go far, even if I ultimately don't think he will.

Featured Scene Percentage (P): 1

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 5
I think I can officially call it. I'm always against guys showing up outside of the limo.

Background (B): 5

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 1

Week 1, The Draft: Prospect Report, Limo 3

Because I aim to be nothing but helpful (it's true. Everywhere I go, people follow me and say. "See that girl? Boy is she helpful!"....at least that's what I've always assumed the word "mean" means), I'm going to start this round of the league by handicapping the prospects for this weekend's draft using a complicated statistic that I've developed based equally on my mathematical acumen (I test at roughly a 7th grade level) and my pension for complete BS.

Below, I give you the Staying Power (SP) rating for each of the men based on their performance in episode 1. I'll confess to actually watching the bios ABC helpfully posted on the website just because the first episode gave us so little to go on. I will also confess being ashamed about watching the bios - extra content is where I try to draw the line! For more detail on the hours of careful thought (read: metro ride) that went into Staying Power (SP = a*P(E+B) - L, see my earlier post.

Nick V. - SP: 90

Attraction (a): 5
I don't know quite what to do with Nick. On the one hand, Andi claimed to have felt an immediate connection and attraction to him, but on the other hand, "I'm usually not that attracted to..." generally doesn't mean, "Suddenly evolutionary biology has produced a plot twist." It's more, "I just had a terrible experience with someone attractive, and I'm trying something out." Remember when Angelina Jolie slummed it with Brad Pitt after things went South with Billy Bob Thornton?

Featured Scene Percentage (P): 6
Nick V. is the clear and away frontrunner for guy who gets way too into it way too fast. Now he just needs to decide what kind of tattoo will go best with polka dots. 

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 3

Background (B): 0

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 0

Dylan - SP: 280

In the Bachelor-world, this pose is synonymous with deep
thought and emotion.
Attraction (a): 7
Why? Because Dylan is attractive. Just objectively. Also they had that whole cute flirtation, personal bubble thing. It worked. 

Featured Scene Percentage (P): 4

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 2

Background (B): 8
I don't know if anyone else watched the bio videos, but Dylan is about to take us all on a journey right to tragedy town. Not only has a really disconcerting percentage of his family passed away, but many of them have done so recently. In fact, my concern with Dylan is that it might be just a little too recent and that he was just a little too willing to share. Like the head injury guy from Des' season, Dylan desperately needs some nurturing care which, at least in our society, just isn't really in keeping with hanging out in a house with 25 men.

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 0


Patrick - SP: 62

Attraction (a): 5
Obviously, Andi is less attracted to him than Andrew is. 

Featured Scene Percentage (P): 3

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 8
Because you know what makes for a meaningful entrance? Symbolism!

Background (B): 0

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 2

Emil - SP: 0

Attraction (a): 0

Featured Scene Percentage (P): 0

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 8
Poor, poor Emil. This was yet another case of not knowing his audience. I actually thought he seemed pretty handsome and charming and for a bit there, I think Andi might have too. But then he opened his mouth about the whole "anal" thing, and it was pretty much all downhill from there. I'm not saying it was a good line, and had he been, say, teaching some essential concept to 7th graders, I'm sure it would have been an effective and invaluable mnemonic, but it's probably not the best approach in the world to win a date with a sequin-clad daughter of the South.

Background (B): 0

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 0

Brett - SP: 18

Attraction (a): 3
  There's absolutely no doubt in my mind that Andi doesn't get Brett. She mentioned on her blog that when he handed her the lamp, he kept waiting for the punchline. But the punchline was the lamp. I personally find his quirkiness delightful and could probably even be persuaded to overlook what, it is increasingly clear, is a hipster mullet (the most pernicious of all mullets, the hipster mullet is known for wearing glasses without lenses and knowing about that band you like way before they got big), but I can't see him hanging in with Andi for more than a couple weeks

Featured Scene Percentage (P): 1

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 5
I guess. If you're not the kind of person who sees the awesome humor in overly-literal translations of motherly advice.

Background (B): 1
We know he has a mother! Which, this year, is kind of big.

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 0

bachelorette-lamp.JPG (607×590)




Week 1, The Draft: Prospect Report, Limo 2

Because I aim to be nothing but helpful (it's true. Everywhere I go, people follow me and say. "See that girl? Boy is she helpful!"....at least that's what I've always assumed the word "mean" means), I'm going to start this round of the league by handicapping the prospects for this weekend's draft using a complicated statistic that I've developed based equally on my mathematical acumen (I test at roughly a 7th grade level) and my pension for complete BS.

Below, I give you the Staying Power (SP) rating for each of the men based on their performance in episode 1. I'll confess to actually watching the bios ABC helpfully posted on the website just because the first episode gave us so little to go on. I will also confess being ashamed about watching the bios - extra content is where I try to draw the line! For more detail on the hours of careful thought (read: metro ride) that went into Staying Power (SP = a*P(E+B) - L, see my earlier post.


Cody - SP: 40

Attraction (a): 1
This guy is 100% a producer plant. The only way he could be less of Andi's type is if he actually he spoke in heavily accented Spanish and told her it was "okay." The only consideration here is how many episodes she'll be forced to keep him before Chris Harrison gives her the nod to send him home. 

Featured Scene Percentage (P): 4
I'm thinking it's going to be the Dave Good kind of drama where he mixes it up at a few cocktail parties, and gets to exchange maybe three words total with Andi.

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 8
You gotta know your audience. Andi was equally as unimpressed by his show of strength as likely was aware of the fact that cars in neutral really aren't that hard to push. Now, if he had cut on the bottom, and was propelling it forward Fred Flinstone-style, I think we all would have agreed he should stay.
nick-and-rachel-bachelor-pad.jpg (575×411)

Background (B): 
We know nothing about his background, but if history has taught us anything, I'm pretty sure we can predict his future. He'll get in a few great one-liners at the men tell all, will go on to participate on Bachelor Pad and someone how emerge victorious having said only four words the whole season. He'll earn the ire of the entire internet, but it won't serve to lessen his love of self-tanner, his propensity for soul patches, or prevent him from fulfilling his weeks-long dream of opening a bar in Arlington, VA. We've been down this road before, Cody. And it's gonna work out just swell. 

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 0


Steven - SP: 0

Attraction (a): 5
Of all the long-haired stoner--types that they confusingly introduced on this season (Perhaps a cutting commentary on mandatory minimums and the different standards that Andi, as a gang prosecutor is forced to uphold for different demographically-linked crimes? Yeah, that's probably it), Steven was the one with whom I thought there was some actual chemistry. I hope she's not planning to harken back to the the kiss 'em and cut 'em approach to the Bachelor as favored by Ben.

Featured Scene Percentage (P): 0

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 0
Though perhaps, secretly, the decision was made the second he made fun of her habitual y'all. 

Background (B): 0

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 0


Rudy - SP: 0

Attraction (a): 0

Featured Scene Percentage (P): 0

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 5
Poor Rudy. I actually thought his little homemade voluntary 4th waiver hit the sweet spot of putting yourself out there and charm, but I suppose if Andi wanted to date a lawyer, she could probably swing that without uprooting her whole life. 

Background (B): 0

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 0


Carl - SP: 50

Attraction (a): 5
I looked at a disconcerting number
of these calendars, and apparently
Canadians feel differently about fire
imagery than we do here in the US...

Carl is pretty much straight out of a FDFL Calendar. He also seems to have roughly the personality of a Mr. February print. 

Featured Scene Percentage (P): 2

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 2

Background (B): 3
We know that Carl knows how to find California on a globe. And that he kind of knows where Ft. Lauderdale is. He'll may in time prove me wrong with all kinds of harrowing tales of heroism, but as of right now, I'm guessing we now know roughly a third of what there is to know about Carl. 

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 1


Jason - SP: 0

Attraction (a): 0
Because apparently the only thing Andi finds less attractive than long hair is being in Limo Two.

Featured Scene Percentage (P): 0

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 10
We talked about this last time 'round with, Larry. Jason obviously reads my blog and benefited from my infinite wisdom as he at least managed to work in that he was a doctor, but seriously, just mentioning that fact is enough! I know the acting surgeon general probably has a lot of really important things to do, but if he could some how see fit to advise against the use of corny pick up lines unless they can be deployed with something approaching confidence, he would really spare us all a considerable amount of trouble.

Background (B): 0

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 0
Because apparently he has "nothing to go back to" - except for, you know, the whole thing with saving lives. 

Week 1, The Draft: Prospect Report, Limo 1

Because I aim to be nothing but helpful (it's true. Everywhere I go, people follow me and say. "See that girl? Boy is she helpful!"....at least that's what I've always assumed the word "mean" means), I'm going to start this round of the league by handicapping the prospects for this weekend's draft using a complicated statistic that I've developed based equally on my mathematical acumen (I test at roughly a 7th grade level) and my pension for complete BS.

Below, I give you the Staying Power (SP) rating for each of the men based on their performance in episode 1. I'll confess to actually watching the bios ABC helpfully posted on the website just because the first episode gave us so little to go on. I will also confess being ashamed about watching the bios - extra content is where I try to draw the line! For more detail on the hours of careful thought (read: metro ride) that went into Staying Power (SP = a*P(E+B) - L, see my earlier post.

Marcus - SP: 435

Attraction (a): 10
i_heart_rick_perry_2012_posters-rbcd71e7fad1f4bedb814b6bdb6fc6d80_wvw_8byvr_324.jpg (324×324)Andi's definitely a cards-close-to-the-vest kind of Bachelorette (but not so close that it bestows a modicum of modesty onto her cleavage), so the fact that she broke her "just happy to be here" character for a moment definitely says something about how she really feels). 


Featured Scene Percentage (P): 6

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 2


Background (B): 5
She did seem a little disappointed to discover he was this worldly Europhile rather than a Texas Good Ole' Boy (which, if we're being honest, my Dad won't even buy German cars, so there's no way Hy is letting that sprechen sie Deutsch win his daughter's hand), but really isn't it every Jewish girl's dream to marry a man with Texas values? (That's why Diane Feinstein is constantly getting called out for doodling "Mrs. Rick Perry <3 on her congressional binders). 

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 5
And someone, I can't see Andi being amused when he explains to her that everyone has a mistress in Paris


Chris - SP: 245

Attraction (a): 7
The fact that Andi said she could love the kind of lifestyle that she would have living on a farm (and I assume constantly hanging out with her mother-in-law) means there's gotta be something cooking. I have every amount of faith that she would not be happy on a farm, but the fact that she is so obviously not at all concerned about furthering her legal career rather weakens the arguments that she is a different kind of Bachelorette.

Featured Scene Percentage (P): 7
This is almost certainly biased as compared to the rest of these tall, dark and generics, Chris has a rather distinctive face. Plus, I'm pretty sure one of the scenes was him crying on the way to the limo ride of shame.

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 0

Background (B): 5

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 0
Because, well, pigs. And rural Iowa.


J.J. - SP: 640

Attraction (a): 8
Because how can she not be attracted to a guy who actually knows a synonym for journey?
Is it weird that he's more attractive
here than in a suit?

Featured Scene Percentage (P): 8
I think. I'm not entirely sure I can tell the difference between J.J. and one or more of the assorted Joshes.
 Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 4
Points for carrying the whole thing off with confidence (bowtie included), but minus points for revealing a possible intimate familiarity with magic cards. 

Background (B): 6
I like to think that pantsapreneurs just appear one day, emerging like Venus from an oyster shell, to provide us all with the choice to go that extra day without shaving our legs.

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 0
His life is fun fur, sequins, and pants. Never before has he been distracted by a human woman...until now. 


Marquel - SP: 175

Attraction (a): 5
Because when a man makes a super subtle joke about black and white cookies and biracial dating, "comfortable" isn't exactly what you should feel.
bw-plush-front.jpg (337×337)

Featured Scene Percentage (P): 7
Though I sense he's going to be more of a pot-stirrer than a front runner

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 0

Background (B): 5
Seriously, if you watch one bio video, watch Marquel's. It's amazing and it makes me just a little bit in love with him. Probably, it's because he and I have such similar values. Cookies are also the motivating factor for the vast majority of my life decisions as well. 

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 0
Chris: Pigs :: Marquel: Cookies. I don't understand why the SAT is doing away with analogies. It's clearly an invaluable life skill!


Tasos - SP: 90

Attraction (a): 2
The man spoke French to her and she was utterly unmoved. She called him "handsome." This is not a man who's actually in contention to win Andi's heart. 

Featured Scene Percentage (P): 5
Definitely as a fringe dweller to all the drama. I'm guessing the best case scenarios for Tasos is a few zinging one-liners to punctuate his utter lack of screen time.

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): 5
But only because he revealed his ignorance of the franchise as part of his opening shtick. Yes, Tasos. Yes, she's heard of love locks. They do it or its equivalent on every season of the Bachelor. Some intern who went 20 rounds with the tourism board in Palau is now swearing that she will have her revenge. 

Background (B): 4
Pantsaprenuers...wedding planners...it's almost as if ABC recruited for this season from Bravo's reality cast-offs.

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): 0

Wednesday, May 21, 2014

Prospect Report: Draft Class





For someone who generally thrives on dysfunction and tragic endings (except, of course, in the case of The Little Match Girl. What the hell is up with that, Hans Christian Anderson? It is a Christmas story!), I was shocked to discover that I am actually really rooting for Andi. Sure the episode got off to a fairly typical start as I penned my snarky margin notes about the literal butterflies in Andi's stomach and the fact that 30 seconds in, we had already heard her say more words than we got out of Juan Pablo in an entire season, but then magically, something changed.
Screen+shot+2012-02-18+at+8.21.01+PM.png (400×288)
Megan's Heart During this Episode
Andi's not the first Bachelorette to come of as wholly charming, she's not the first to genuinely wish her rejects well or to take an interest in someone who interests more than just her libido, and yet, for some reason, in an unprecedented show of support, I think I really want her to find love. I think in all likelihood after the disconcerting ending to Desiree's season and the entirety of Juan Pablo's ill-conceived voyage of yuck, I'm craving the actual format of the show as God and Chris Harrison intended. And in even likier-hood I'll be eating my words by episode three, but for today, I'm all in! Let's get this 26-year-old spinster her last ever shot at love!

Sandworm_(Beetlejuice).png (709×534)
While I find Andi surprisingly delightful, I have to admit the same does not apply to the men of this season. Many of them seem like off-brand versions of the memorable cast members from other seasons (In addition to being incredibly awkward, unbelievably contrived, and just about my favorite thing ever, Chris Bukowski's guest appearance really brought that home for me), and it's almost as if, when they asked Andi what she wanted, she said "As far away as you can get from Juan Pablo," and the ABC team, generally unfamiliar with the breed of man who lives outside the law of misogyny, just rounded up all the metrosexual males they could find (David Good would NOT thrive on this season). Even the racecar loving gents were talking about NASCAR's polka-dot-tie-wearing, compliments-usually-reserved for-pregnant-women European cousin, Formula 1. And as much as I didn't think I needed a man in drag or a spoken word acrostic composed to spell out "GANG PROSECUTOR" or a Michael-Keaton wannabe emerging on a clay-mation sandworm to get this season going, this year's entrances were a rather pitiful display. For that reason, I'm afraid this year's prospect report might be a rather pitiful display (in contrast to it's usual almost Talmudic usefulness). But though I had a hard time distinguishing between brown-haired bros in the "coming up" video, though the interview videos got pre-empted by Dancing with the Stars, the scientific principles (read: workings of a very nerdy madwoman) behind the Staying Power metric are still very sound, so as a review, each man in the prospect report has been judged on:

Attraction (a): The degree to which Andi demonstrated attraction to a guy. Not to be confused with actual attractiveness (A), which is classically described by the universally objective Pitt-Beckham scale of hotness. This factor, though among the most important, contributes a larger weight to The Bachelor than to its lady-driven counterpart
bachette-1399942928.jpg (1260×872)

Background (B): The extent to which we are exposed to a guy and/or his personal tragedy during Episode 1. This variable encompasses, not just the extent to which the audience is allowed to peer into the still very, very shallow recesses of each contestant's soul, but also, how sad each contestant makes us feel and their level of success in exploiting an adorable relative.

Awkwardness of Entrance (E): This is a controversial measure, but for each contestant who makes it through the first rose ceremony, the extent to which they made the rest of us cringe on night one can actually be a plus in terms of Staying Power. The embarrassing entrance can be your go to for stagnant conversations and for times you should be discussing things like what religion you plan to raise you kids (Yenter, 2013).

Featured Scene Percentage in "Coming Up" Montage (P): This can be misleading. Often the truly terrible villains dominate a lot of screen time and then go home by week 5, but as the draft is ultimately about who will put up points rather than who will win Andi's heart, it would be folly not to include it here.

Likelihood of Having a Girlfriend Back Home (L): This one sort speaks for itself. Also, it has historically had a disconcertingly high correlation with Attraction (a).

Mix these numbers all around (all of which will be based on a not at all arbitrary score out of 10) and you have yourself a metric that - not unlike an NFL quarterback's performance on the combine - is predictive of absolutely nothing. Happy Drafting Everyone!

                      SP = a*P(E+B) - L